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State of the Screens

Billion Dollar Tours And The Economics of Modern Music

By April 13, 2023No Comments

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Five big questions re: how musicians make money:
1) How large is the music industry?
2) How do we purchase music today?
3) How many people subscribe to a music service?
4) What share of revenue for musicians comes from touring?
5) How do people discover new music in 2023?

Big question #1: How large is the music industry?

U.S. music industry retail revenue (YoY growth) according to the RIAA:
1) 
2013 – $7.0B (↑ 0%)
2) 2014 – $6.7B (↓ 4%)
3) 2015 – $6.7B (↑ 0%)
4) 2016 – $7.6B (↑ 13%)
5) 2017 – $8.8B (↑ 16%)
6) 2018 – $9.7B (↑ 10%)
7) 2019 – $11.1B (↑ 14%)
8) 2020 – $12.2B (↑ 9%)
9) 2021 – $15.0B (↑ 23%)
10) 2022 – $15.9B (↑ 6%)

29A1.1-2022Q4E

Big question #2: How do we purchase music today?

Source of music industry retail revenue (YoY growth):
1) 
Streaming – 84%
2) 
Physical – 11%
3) 
Digital downloads – 3%
4) 
Synch – 2%

29A1.1-2022Q4B

Interesting: Purchasing physical copies of music grew share by 2% YoY, driven by continued growth in vinyl records.
Wow: Vinyl records outsold CDs for the first time since 1987.
Key details for the history of the compact disc (CD):
1) 4.7inch disc made of plastic and aluminum
2) U.S. arrival in 1983
3) 75 U.S. stores carried at launch
4) $900 ($2,700 in 2023 $) purchase price for a CD player
5) $16-$20 ($48-$60 in 2023 $) purchase price for CDs
Big question #3: How many people subscribe to a music service?Streaming subscribers for the music industry (YoY growth):
1) 2015 – 11M
2) 
2016 – 23M (↑ 110%)
3) 2017 – 35M (↑ 56%)
4) 2018 – 47M (↑ 33%)
5) 2019 – 60M (↑ 29%)
6) 2020 – 76M (↑ 25%)
7) 2021 – 84M (↑ 11%)
8) 2022 – 92M (↑ 10%)
29A1.1-2022Q4D
Big question #4: What share of revenue for musicians comes from touring?Quick answer: A major act such as U2 makes 95% of its revenue from touring.Wow #1: Both Taylor Swift and Beyonce are on track to generate $1B from a single tour.  Elton John has the current record at $800M for the Yellow Brick Road tour.Wow #2: Each Taylor Swift show generates ≈$10M in ticket revenue and $2M in merchandise sales.
Big question #5: How do people discover new music in 2023?Quick answer: Spotify’s algorithmic recommendations account for 1/3 of new music discovery.
 
Michael Beach

Michael Beach is the Chief Executive Officer of Cross Screen Media, a media analytics and software company that enables marketers to plan, activate, and measure CTV and linear TV at the local level. Michael is also the founder and editor of State of the Screens, a weekly newsletter focused on video advertising that is a must-read for thought leaders in the advertising industry. He has appeared in such publications as PBS Frontline, The Wall Street Journal, The New York Times, Axios, CNBC and Bloomberg, and on NPR’s Planet Money podcast.