NFL average TV ratings for the regular season (YoY change):
1) 2016–16.5M
2) 2017–15.0M (↓ 9%)
3) 2018–15.8M (↑ 5%)
53.9M: Both the AFC and NFC championship games posted monster viewership numbers so it will be interesting to see if that carries forward into the Super Bowl.
The big question: Boston was one of the strongest markets for the NFL all season, while Los Angeles was one of the worst. How does this impact the overall rating for the Super Bowl?
Total viewership for past 10 Super Bowls (YoY change):
1) 2018 — PHI-NE (NBC) — 106.0M (↓ 6%)
2) 2017 — NE-ATL (FOX) — 113.3M (↑ 1%)
3) 2016 — DEN-CAR (CBS) — 111.9M (↓ 2%)
4) 2015 — NE-SEA (NBC) — 114.4M (↑ 2%)
5) 2014 — SEA-DEN (FOX) — 112.2M (↑ 3%)
6) 2013 — BAL-SF (CBS) — 108.7M (↓ 2%)
7) 2012 — NYG-NE (NBC) — 111.4M (↑ 0%)
8) 2011 — GB-PIT (FOX) — 111.0M (↑ 4%)
9) 2010 — NO-IND (CBS) — 106.5M (↑ 8%)
10) 2009 — PIT-ARIZ (NBC) — 98.7M (↑ 1%)
Our prediction: Look for total viewership to rebound at a similar level as the regular season (≈ 5%) leading to 111M viewers.
Fun read: How Did We Get Here? An Illustrated Guide to the N.F.L. Playoffs
More #1: The Year the N.F.L. Bounced Back
More #2: Super Bowl Is TV’s Last Big Show
More #3: Which teams does CBS want in the Super Bowl? It matters less than you might think.
