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Netflix Can Either Become the Dominant Media Monopoly of the 21st Century or Go Bust

Netflix stock price:
Current — $361.05
52-week high — $423.21
52-week low — $164.23

Why is Netflix stock so volatile? Netflix is a binary bet. You either believe that they are building the dominant media platform of the future or is on its way to bankruptcy. Not much middle ground.

High bar: 5.1M new subscribers was a disappointment!

Wall Street expectations vs. Actual in 2018-Q2:
1) Projected — 6.3M
2) Actual — 5.1M

Several analysts believe that Netflix needs at least 250M global subscribers in order to make their economic model work.

Emmy nominations 2018 by show:
1) Game of Thrones (HBO) — 22
2) Saturday Night Live (NBC) — 21
3) Westworld (HBO) — 21
4) The Handmaid’s Tale (Hulu) — 20

Emmy nominations 2018 by network:
1) Netflix — 112
2) HBO — 108
3) NBC — 78
4) FX Networks — 50

30% of the 538 nominations went to a tech platform.

Flashback: Streaming services led by Netflix pile up 2017 Emmy nominations

More #1: Netflix Is Spending More on Marketing This Year Than Some of Its Rivals Are on Content

More #2: The Crazy Numbers Behind Netflix’s 20 Years of Success

More #3: It takes 11 months for Netflix to achieve payback on each new U.S. subscriber


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